1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,760 How money and banking work, and why they're broken today. 2 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:10,240 There are over 160 currencies in the world today, and the money supply from most of them 3 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:15,520 increases rapidly, which persistently and invisibly dilutes people's savings and wages, 4 00:00:15,900 --> 00:00:21,640 and siphons that value away towards others. Money can be printed or lent into existence 5 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:26,860 for corporate interests, bankers, or corrupt officials, and this purchasing power is taken 6 00:00:26,860 --> 00:00:32,000 away from the public in ways that are purposely more subtle and harder to detect than taxation. 7 00:00:32,820 --> 00:00:36,300 And as people try to reach outside of their regions for better money elsewhere, 8 00:00:36,900 --> 00:00:40,760 capital controls and other points of friction are often used to keep them in. 9 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:46,500 Even in wealthy countries, all is not well. While inflation may not be as high, 10 00:00:46,500 --> 00:00:51,280 the money concentrates toward a smaller and smaller number of hands over time, 11 00:00:51,820 --> 00:00:54,680 and more and more debt is piled up on the government ledger. 12 00:00:54,680 --> 00:01:00,360 Political polarization grows, as nobody can agree on who is causing it or why it's happening. 13 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:06,200 Improving technology should make things cheaper over time, but central banks' inflation mandates 14 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:11,760 are to ensure that prices continually increase instead by continually expanding the amount of 15 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:17,800 money in the system. Money affects us all. It's how we make contracts, how we coordinate economic 16 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:23,660 activity, and how we store our purchasing power for the future. And while the world has improved in 17 00:01:23,660 --> 00:01:28,740 many ways, money itself continues to be broken for most people worldwide. 18 00:01:30,020 --> 00:01:34,800 I'm Lin Alden, and this is a problem I have invested countless hours into understanding. 19 00:01:35,380 --> 00:01:40,540 I grew up in poverty, which from a young age gave me a strong interest in saving and investing. 20 00:01:41,060 --> 00:01:45,940 In my adult life, my husband and I split our time each year between the United States and Egypt, 21 00:01:45,940 --> 00:01:53,220 since our shared roots, families, and friends are in both places. So, I see firsthand the troubles 22 00:01:53,220 --> 00:01:59,620 that broken money can cause, both subtly in a developed country and more overtly in a developing one. 23 00:02:00,500 --> 00:02:06,260 I currently analyze and invest in the global financial system as a profession. But before that, 24 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:13,160 I was an engineer building, taking apart, and understanding complex systems. I view money as another system 25 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:19,080 I must take apart to understand. This video aims to distill the knowledge I've gathered on this topic. 26 00:02:19,640 --> 00:02:25,400 For a deeper dive, refer to my book, Broken Money, Why Our Financial System Is Failing Us, 27 00:02:25,500 --> 00:02:31,080 and How We Can Make It Better. For us to understand our monetary system from the top down, 28 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:37,320 we must start at the bottom and work our way up. Let's rip away the complexities and pose a fundamental 29 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:44,920 question. What is money? Trading goods on the spot is a challenge, as there are more ways a trade can 30 00:02:44,920 --> 00:02:52,560 fail than succeed. If you have extra spears, but lack furs, and I have extra furs, but lack spears, 31 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:58,840 that's a relatively rare scenario where our needs align. When this barter system scales to an economy 32 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:04,900 that produces five different products, it results in 10 unique trading pairs. With 20 different products, 33 00:03:04,900 --> 00:03:11,860 there are 190 trading pairs. And with 100 different products, that number of trading pairs grows to 34 00:03:11,860 --> 00:03:19,260 4,950. Clearly, a more efficient trading method is needed. One way to address this is by making the 35 00:03:19,260 --> 00:03:24,340 timing of a transaction more flexible. Suppose you have extra spears and are short on furs, 36 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:30,180 while I have extra spears and furs, but I don't need anything from you. If you ask me for furs, 37 00:03:30,180 --> 00:03:35,780 I could give you some in exchange for an unspecified favor at a later date. This is called flexible 38 00:03:35,780 --> 00:03:41,580 social credit. In settings with family and friends, gifts are exchanged as a form of social credit 39 00:03:41,580 --> 00:03:47,680 with no specific expectation of repayment. And outside of close relations, people keep track of 40 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:53,000 who is helpful and who is a burden. When a well-laid community member needs help, others are more 41 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:57,600 generous with their offerings because of the social history attached to the person in need. 42 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:03,820 In larger settings, credit systems adhere to a more formal type of credit. In these systems, 43 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:09,560 a person can borrow some value in the present, but they must promise to repay it later. And there's 44 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:16,200 often some local authority that sets the rules regarding how credit is handled. Suppose a baker needs 45 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:22,360 meat from a butcher, but the butcher already has bread. The baker can create, quote, bread credits, 46 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:26,000 where each credit is a promise that could be exchanged for bread in the future. 47 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:31,900 If the butcher trusts these bread credits will hold that promise, they make a transaction. Still, 48 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:37,400 the butcher takes on some risks. In this case, trusting that the baker will remain in business. 49 00:04:38,220 --> 00:04:43,260 Another solution is to use a commodity as money. Rather than finding a person who has what you 50 00:04:43,260 --> 00:04:48,680 specifically need and where you also have what they specifically need, people can use a portable, 51 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:54,800 divisible, durable, scarce, and widely desired universal good as one side of every transaction. 52 00:04:54,800 --> 00:05:00,920 Among hunter-gatherers, shell jewelry beads served as a common form of money. They were small, 53 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:06,860 long-lasting, wearable, hard to make, and widely desirable. People frequently found use in acquiring 54 00:05:06,860 --> 00:05:11,920 more shell jewelry than they currently possessed due to its size, wearability, aesthetic appeal, 55 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:18,580 and the value it holds over time. So, if you find yourself short on spears, and I have no immediate 56 00:05:18,580 --> 00:05:24,800 need for your goods, I might request shell jewelry in exchange, even if it's not an immediate necessity 57 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:30,800 for me. I can wear the jewelry, and later, when I come across something I desire, I can offer the 58 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:37,340 jewelry for trade. As commodity money evolved, gold and silver coins gained popularity across numerous 59 00:05:37,340 --> 00:05:44,200 empires. These slender disks adhere to standardized shapes, weights, and fineness, simplifying their 60 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:50,380 ability to be verified by anyone using them, which in turn enhance the efficiency of transactions. 61 00:05:51,340 --> 00:05:57,720 Coins established dominance over all other forms of commodity money for three primary reasons. First, 62 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:03,180 gold and silver are harder to increase the supply of relative to other commodities due to their unique 63 00:06:03,180 --> 00:06:09,740 properties. Second, coinage with guaranteed size and purity makes gold and silver easier to use in 64 00:06:09,740 --> 00:06:16,060 transactions than raw bits of metal. Third, the acceptance and liquidity of coins issued domestically 65 00:06:16,060 --> 00:06:21,420 would generally be higher than that of foreign coins, which would ensure widespread acceptance of a 66 00:06:21,420 --> 00:06:27,340 standardized unit within that region. Ultimately, the answer to the question of what is money is that 67 00:06:27,340 --> 00:06:33,100 money is a ledger for payments and savings. Ancient monetary systems usually consisted of a blend of 68 00:06:33,100 --> 00:06:38,700 commodity money and credit. Commodity money represents a ledger whose attributes and constraints are 69 00:06:38,700 --> 00:06:43,660 governed by the laws of nature, and was useful for determining a society's standard unit that 70 00:06:43,660 --> 00:06:49,580 transactions would be denominated in. Holding commodity money in one's own possession also served as a 71 00:06:49,580 --> 00:06:56,780 way to store value independently, without relying on anyone else's ongoing memory or liability. Meanwhile, 72 00:06:56,780 --> 00:07:02,620 various credit agreements represent a shared ledger governed by humans, either orally or in writing, 73 00:07:02,620 --> 00:07:07,820 and were used to make transactions more efficient, either between known entities or the backing of a 74 00:07:07,820 --> 00:07:11,180 shared authority. And this is what led to the rise of banking. 75 00:07:13,500 --> 00:07:18,460 In medieval times, a popular paper-based financial instrument in the Middle East and North Africa 76 00:07:18,460 --> 00:07:23,260 was the Suftaja, playing a pivotal role in the development of a system known as Hawala. 77 00:07:24,380 --> 00:07:29,820 Under this arrangement, a Hawala-Dar money-changer operated in one city while their business partner 78 00:07:29,820 --> 00:07:34,700 worked in another. To transfer money between cities, an individual could deposit gold with 79 00:07:34,700 --> 00:07:39,580 their local Hawala-Dar and either they or their recipient could redeem the same amount of gold from 80 00:07:39,580 --> 00:07:45,180 a Hawala-Dar in another city. This system relied on a network of trust and credit among Hawala-Dars, 81 00:07:45,180 --> 00:07:50,700 enhancing the efficiency and safety of long-distance money transfers. Hawala-Dars with established 82 00:07:50,700 --> 00:07:55,420 relationships conducted regular credit-based transactions on behalf of their clients, while 83 00:07:55,420 --> 00:08:00,780 settling with each other less frequently, but under more secure conditions. Without this system, 84 00:08:00,780 --> 00:08:06,060 merchants would have had to transport bulky and unsafe quantities of gold between cities more 85 00:08:06,060 --> 00:08:11,900 frequently. This idea of a paper-based credit system eventually made its way into Europe through 86 00:08:11,900 --> 00:08:16,700 trade and warfare interactions between Christians and Muslims. With the advent of the Renaissance in 87 00:08:16,700 --> 00:08:21,420 Europe, the development of double-entry bookkeeping facilitated increasingly intricate credit 88 00:08:21,420 --> 00:08:25,820 arrangements and the emergence of well-known financial institutions. The invention of the 89 00:08:25,820 --> 00:08:30,940 printing press further enabled the creation of more complex financial paper instruments based 90 00:08:30,940 --> 00:08:36,940 around increasing levels of negotiability. In financial jargon, negotiability means that a 91 00:08:36,940 --> 00:08:42,140 financial instrument can be transferred to another party, which makes it more broadly applicable and 92 00:08:42,140 --> 00:08:48,460 liquid. In the initial stage, a simplistic, non-negotiable paper instrument can only be redeemed by the 93 00:08:48,460 --> 00:08:55,580 specific party as specified in its original creation. In the second stage, a paper instrument is issued to 94 00:08:55,580 --> 00:09:01,740 a specific party and is intended for their redemption, yet it possesses negotiability, allowing it to be signed 95 00:09:01,740 --> 00:09:08,060 over to another party who can then redeem it instead. This involves a more intricate and trusted financial 96 00:09:08,060 --> 00:09:15,580 network connecting a larger number of counterparties. In the third stage, a paper instrument such as a banknote is an 97 00:09:15,580 --> 00:09:21,580 asset that is owned by whoever possesses it, enabling it to be freely exchanged between parties with no need 98 00:09:21,580 --> 00:09:27,820 for ownership transfer beyond physical possession. This third form relies on the existence of large and 99 00:09:27,820 --> 00:09:34,860 widely recognized institutions. Otherwise, merchants would not accept these banknotes. The foundational issue 100 00:09:34,860 --> 00:09:41,660 with banking lies in the necessity for customers to trust banks to effectively manage their reserves. In the gold-based 101 00:09:41,660 --> 00:09:47,900 banking systems of past centuries, customers expected that their deposits and banknotes could be redeemed on 102 00:09:47,900 --> 00:09:54,700 demand. However, bankers frequently betrayed that trust as they recognized that most individuals did not 103 00:09:54,700 --> 00:10:00,860 redeem all their gold at once, which allowed bankers to lend out some of their gold while maintaining only a 104 00:10:00,860 --> 00:10:07,740 fraction for customer redemptions. One way around this problem is with full reserve banking. In this approach, 105 00:10:07,740 --> 00:10:14,220 all demand deposits which can be redeemed by depositors at any time must be fully backed by liquid reserves, 106 00:10:14,220 --> 00:10:19,900 and any loans that a bank makes must instead be funded by time deposits with an equal or longer 107 00:10:19,900 --> 00:10:26,220 duration. So, if a bank offers a two-year loan, it should be supported by certificates of deposit 108 00:10:26,220 --> 00:10:32,220 with at least two years of duration. This practice of matching durations leads to a more stable system 109 00:10:32,220 --> 00:10:38,220 because it avoids making commitments about liquidity that cannot always be fulfilled. Much of history has 110 00:10:38,220 --> 00:10:43,100 decided against full reserve banking in favor of fractional reserve banking, where demand deposits can be 111 00:10:43,100 --> 00:10:49,100 redeemed at any time even though only a fraction of them are kept in reserves for immediate redemption. This 112 00:10:49,100 --> 00:10:54,700 approach hinges on the assumption that not many people will redeem or withdraw their money at the same 113 00:10:54,700 --> 00:11:01,420 time. However, during crises they often do. When money is borrowed from a bank, it leads to the 114 00:11:01,420 --> 00:11:07,500 creation of additional fractionally reserved deposits. These deposits can then be placed in another bank, 115 00:11:07,500 --> 00:11:13,820 where they are once again subject to fractional reserve practices, and can be let out immediately, repeating the 116 00:11:13,820 --> 00:11:20,540 process. This cycle results in the double counting, triple counting, quadruple counting, and so on for base money, 117 00:11:21,100 --> 00:11:27,420 causing the system to be burdened with many times more gold claims than there is actual gold. While this system 118 00:11:27,420 --> 00:11:33,500 functions well most of the time, it occasionally experiences catastrophic failures. 119 00:11:33,500 --> 00:11:38,700 Central banks were established to mitigate the impact of fractional reserve banking crises and to provide 120 00:11:38,700 --> 00:11:44,540 financial support to governments during times of conflict. In the absence of a central bank, a system is 121 00:11:44,540 --> 00:11:51,100 typically referred to as free banking. Under a free banking arrangement, banks safeguard their own gold, 122 00:11:51,100 --> 00:11:56,460 issue deposits, and distribute banknotes redeemable for gold, although they still normally have to 123 00:11:56,460 --> 00:12:02,700 follow regulations placed on them by the government. In contrast, when a central bank is established and 124 00:12:02,700 --> 00:12:08,300 granted monopoly status by the government, all banks are required to deposit their reserves with the 125 00:12:08,300 --> 00:12:14,380 central bank, which holds the gold on their behalf. This setup involves fractional reserve practices even 126 00:12:14,380 --> 00:12:20,700 within the central bank that manages the reserves. When a fractional reserve bank faces a run on its reserves, 127 00:12:20,700 --> 00:12:26,460 it can borrow from other banks using its loan assets as collateral. But during financial crises, 128 00:12:26,460 --> 00:12:32,700 mutual distrust among banks can lead to system failures due to excessive claims on money compared 129 00:12:32,700 --> 00:12:38,940 to available reserves. To counter this, central banks often resort to printing more currency, causing 130 00:12:38,940 --> 00:12:45,900 currency devaluation, breaking gold picks, and inflation. Eventually, many central banks and governments 131 00:12:45,900 --> 00:12:50,860 abandon gold-backed currency altogether to create a new type of global financial system. 132 00:12:52,620 --> 00:12:57,740 The rails that move money and credit are highly intricate, and their structure evolves over time 133 00:12:57,740 --> 00:13:03,740 due to technological advancements and shifts in geopolitical dynamics. At its core, the global 134 00:13:03,740 --> 00:13:09,020 financial system facilitates international trade settlement and external financing between different 135 00:13:09,020 --> 00:13:14,700 countries. In a system where each country maintained its own separate central bank currency ledger, 136 00:13:14,700 --> 00:13:20,540 often with mutual distrust regarding the soundness of each other's currency. A global reserve asset 137 00:13:20,540 --> 00:13:27,180 becomes essential to unify various currencies for international trade. Since 1871, this system has 138 00:13:27,180 --> 00:13:34,060 undergone three structural transformations. After the first transformation, the modern financial era began 139 00:13:34,060 --> 00:13:40,940 with the international gold standard, which spanned from 1871 until the early 20th century. By the 1860s, 140 00:13:40,940 --> 00:13:46,700 the telegraph revolutionized communication with the completion of the first cross-Atlantic cable, 141 00:13:46,700 --> 00:13:52,780 enabling instant communication across continents, a feat previously unimaginable. The end of the 142 00:13:52,780 --> 00:14:00,220 Franco-Prussian War in 1871 marked the onset of a period of European peace and the widespread adoption of the 143 00:14:00,220 --> 00:14:06,380 international gold standard. At the same time, the United States centralized its banking system during the 144 00:14:06,380 --> 00:14:13,180 civil war and joined Europe in adopting the gold standard. While the telegraph created new possibilities, 145 00:14:13,180 --> 00:14:18,380 it also introduced a challenge. Transactions could now occur at the speed of light across countries and 146 00:14:18,380 --> 00:14:23,980 continents, but physical settlements of money were constrained by the limitations of physical matter. 147 00:14:25,020 --> 00:14:30,940 This mismatch created arbitrage opportunities, which banks and central banks capitalized on. They held a 148 00:14:30,940 --> 00:14:36,540 monopoly over fast, long-distance value transfers, utilizing paper and telegraph communication to 149 00:14:36,540 --> 00:14:41,980 update each other's ledgers with minimal need to ever physically send and verify actual gold. 150 00:14:42,860 --> 00:14:48,940 In 1875, William Stanley Jevons published a book titled Money and the Mechanism of Exchange. 151 00:14:49,980 --> 00:14:56,060 Similar to my 2023 book, Broken Money, Jevons explored the history of money and the technological 152 00:14:56,060 --> 00:15:01,420 advancements surrounding it. He highlighted that thanks to the telegraph and other rapid communication 153 00:15:01,420 --> 00:15:07,340 methods, transactions could frequently occur with minimal reliance on physical metal. The global 154 00:15:07,340 --> 00:15:13,500 financial system was gravitating towards centralization, particularly around London, where bankers could 155 00:15:13,500 --> 00:15:19,900 efficiently transact through a centralized clearinghouse. Jevons also recognized the substantial risks 156 00:15:19,900 --> 00:15:25,340 accompanying this growing efficiency. He emphasized that there are approximately 20 times more 157 00:15:25,340 --> 00:15:31,500 claims for gold than actual gold reserves. He cautioned that bankers should never forget that these 158 00:15:31,500 --> 00:15:37,740 fractionally reserved claims essentially represented promises for gold, even though they were rarely 159 00:15:37,740 --> 00:15:44,620 redeemed as such. Even if just 5% of people simultaneously demanded their gold, the system would crumble. 160 00:15:45,660 --> 00:15:52,380 Fast forward four decades, and this scenario unfolded during World War I. The era of European peace came to an 161 00:15:52,380 --> 00:15:58,540 end, leading to money printing for wartime purposes and widespread defaults on gold redemption within a heavily 162 00:15:58,540 --> 00:16:04,860 leveraged financial system. Taxing for wars is unpopular and can lead to revolts and revolutions by the people. 163 00:16:05,420 --> 00:16:11,660 So, governments often turned to currency dilution and other less transparent methods to pay for them. 164 00:16:12,460 --> 00:16:17,580 In earlier centuries, when governments aimed to debase their currency for war financing, 165 00:16:17,580 --> 00:16:23,820 the process unfolded slowly. There is no swift method to diminish the value of coins held by people. 166 00:16:24,380 --> 00:16:32,140 Instead, it required taxation, melting, reminting, and reintroducing lower quality coins into the economy. 167 00:16:33,020 --> 00:16:38,140 However, in a scenario where individuals predominantly hold deposits and paper claims 168 00:16:38,140 --> 00:16:43,340 backed by gold stored in central bank vaults, the ability to sever gold redemption becomes a matter of a 169 00:16:43,340 --> 00:16:49,180 stroke of a pen, allowing for the rapid printing of vast amounts of money. Governments were no longer 170 00:16:49,180 --> 00:16:54,140 restricted by the quantity of gold in their reserves. They could continue fighting until they depleted the 171 00:16:54,140 --> 00:17:01,100 liquid savings of their entire citizenry. The second period of the modern financial era unfolded 172 00:17:01,100 --> 00:17:08,940 after World War II and extended until 1971. During the war years, gold pegs collapsed worldwide, 173 00:17:08,940 --> 00:17:15,260 with some nations even outlawing gold ownership for their citizens. Following the war, most countries, 174 00:17:15,260 --> 00:17:22,460 except the United States, faced severe devastation. So, the United States, representing over 40 percent 175 00:17:22,460 --> 00:17:30,380 of the global economy, assumed a central role in a new international financial system. In 1944, as the 176 00:17:30,380 --> 00:17:36,940 Allied forces neared victory, representatives from 44 countries convened in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, 177 00:17:36,940 --> 00:17:42,540 to design the future global financial system. Britain advocated for a system centered around a 178 00:17:42,540 --> 00:17:48,700 neutral reserve asset called a banker, while the United States pushed for pegging all currencies to 179 00:17:48,700 --> 00:17:55,500 the dollar, with the dollar itself tied to gold. The U.S. proposal prevailed, leading to the establishment 180 00:17:55,500 --> 00:18:03,340 of what we now recognize as the Bretton Woods system. Under this system, it remained illegal for Americans to own 181 00:18:03,340 --> 00:18:08,860 gold, and they couldn't redeem dollars for gold, but foreign central banks had that privilege. 182 00:18:09,660 --> 00:18:14,940 The creation of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund followed the Bretton Woods Conference, 183 00:18:14,940 --> 00:18:19,500 serving as the key components for enticing, enforcing, and regulating the system. 184 00:18:20,380 --> 00:18:27,340 Once again, the Achilles heel was fractional reserve banking. Between 1950 and 1970, the number of dollars in 185 00:18:27,340 --> 00:18:33,500 circulation tripled due to bank lending and government deficits, even as U.S. gold reserves 186 00:18:33,500 --> 00:18:39,900 diminished through foreign redemptions. Offshore dollars further multiplied, essentially forming one 187 00:18:39,900 --> 00:18:46,300 fractional reserve system on top of another. By the late 1960s, it became evident that the system was 188 00:18:46,300 --> 00:18:52,220 destined to fail, prompting President Nixon to terminate gold redeemability in 1971. 189 00:18:52,220 --> 00:18:59,820 The third and current era of the modern financial system commenced in the 1970s, following the collapse 190 00:18:59,820 --> 00:19:07,260 of the Bretton Woods system. After 1971, the world found itself in an entirely unbacked monetary system, 191 00:19:07,260 --> 00:19:13,020 marking a significant departure from previous eras. While governments could compel their citizens to 192 00:19:13,020 --> 00:19:19,260 use currency for domestic transactions, the challenge lay in trusting other governments' unbacked ledgers 193 00:19:19,260 --> 00:19:25,580 for global trade. During this period, the United States still held the world's largest economy, 194 00:19:25,580 --> 00:19:32,540 military power, and global dollar network effects from the Bretton Woods era. In 1974, the Nixon 195 00:19:32,540 --> 00:19:37,660 administration struck a deal with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, requiring that Saudi Arabia would 196 00:19:37,660 --> 00:19:43,980 exclusively sell its oil in dollars, accumulate dollar surpluses, and invest those surpluses in U.S. 197 00:19:43,980 --> 00:19:50,140 government bonds as reserves. In return, the U.S. would offer lucrative arms deals and military 198 00:19:50,140 --> 00:19:56,380 protection. This practice extended to other OPEC countries, giving rise to the petrodollar system, 199 00:19:57,020 --> 00:20:02,540 and for a substantial period, almost all global energy trade was denominated in dollars. 200 00:20:03,420 --> 00:20:07,980 Throughout these three eras, the gold standard, where nations supported their currencies with gold 201 00:20:07,980 --> 00:20:13,260 reserves, the Bretton Woods system, characterized by the United States' substantial gold holdings and other 202 00:20:13,260 --> 00:20:18,700 countries pecking their currencies to the dollar, and the petrodollar system, where the U.S. dollar and 203 00:20:18,700 --> 00:20:24,540 U.S. government bonds serve as the pillars of global trade, one can see a gradual shift toward two 204 00:20:24,540 --> 00:20:33,900 defining features, centralization and abstraction. Since the invention and deployment of the telegraph 205 00:20:33,900 --> 00:20:39,900 in the latter half of the 19th century, the global financial system has witnessed a consolidation of power 206 00:20:39,900 --> 00:20:46,060 and a separation from reality. The ability for transactions to occur globally at the speed of light, 207 00:20:46,060 --> 00:20:51,660 while physical monetary settlements can only happen at the pace of material transfer, requires a level of 208 00:20:51,660 --> 00:20:58,540 credit abstraction to work. This shift granted banks and central banks significant power, as they 209 00:20:58,540 --> 00:21:04,540 effectively monopolized fast, long-distance value transfers. Eventually, they could just drop material 210 00:21:04,540 --> 00:21:10,860 transfer from the system altogether and to find money entirely around central bank ledgers. Central 211 00:21:10,860 --> 00:21:16,300 banks took on the role of managing the ledgers for their respective countries, and notably the Bank of 212 00:21:16,300 --> 00:21:22,060 England in the past and the U.S. Federal Reserve in the present have also served as the global ledgers 213 00:21:22,060 --> 00:21:28,300 that bound international trade together. As a result, there are approximately 160 different currencies 214 00:21:28,300 --> 00:21:34,620 worldwide, each holding a local monopoly within its own jurisdiction, with limited or no acceptance 215 00:21:34,620 --> 00:21:40,700 beyond its borders. Currencies of wealthy nations tend to lose value slowly, while most currencies lose 216 00:21:40,700 --> 00:21:46,860 value quickly. The anchor of this global financial architecture between all these currencies is the U.S. 217 00:21:46,860 --> 00:21:52,860 dollar. Countries maintain dollar-denominated assets in reserves, denominate significant portions of 218 00:21:52,860 --> 00:21:59,100 international trade contracts in dollars, and access dollar-denominated financing from foreign creditors. 219 00:21:59,740 --> 00:22:03,500 This greatly benefits the United States geopolitically, even though it doesn't 220 00:22:03,500 --> 00:22:09,180 necessarily benefit all Americans. For instance, the United States can devalue the dollar through 221 00:22:09,180 --> 00:22:15,180 softer monetary policies, thereby diminishing the purchasing power of currency reserves held by creditor 222 00:22:15,180 --> 00:22:21,580 nations. Or, the United States can strengthen the dollar through tighter monetary policies, increasing the 223 00:22:21,580 --> 00:22:27,100 value of liabilities owed by debtor nations, and sending them into financial crises. 224 00:22:27,980 --> 00:22:34,620 The failure rate for currencies around the world is very high. In the 1990s, Brazil, at the time the fifth 225 00:22:34,620 --> 00:22:40,860 most populous country in the world, experienced severe hyperinflation. Since the 1980s or later, 226 00:22:40,860 --> 00:22:49,340 hyperinflation has impacted other nations such as Argentina, Yugoslavia, Zimbabwe, Venezuela, Poland, Kazakhstan, 227 00:22:49,340 --> 00:22:57,580 Peru, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Lebanon, and several others. Additionally, countries like Israel, Mexico, 228 00:22:57,580 --> 00:23:03,740 Vietnam, Ecuador, Costa Rica, and Turkey grappled with triple-digit inflation during this period, 229 00:23:03,740 --> 00:23:09,180 which is on the brink of hyperinflation. Many other countries experienced recurring periods of double-digit 230 00:23:09,180 --> 00:23:15,420 inflation. Nigeria, with a population of over 200 million people, has witnessed an annualized price 231 00:23:15,420 --> 00:23:22,540 inflation rate of 13% over the past decade. Turkey and Argentina, both esteemed members of the G20 232 00:23:22,540 --> 00:23:28,460 nations with a combined population exceeding 130 million people, have struggled with runaway inflation 233 00:23:28,460 --> 00:23:36,460 for years. In 2016, Egypt, home to over 100 million people, drastically devalued its currency by half relative 234 00:23:36,460 --> 00:23:43,020 to the dollar and repeated this devaluation again in 2022. Both actions taken at the bidding of the 235 00:23:43,020 --> 00:23:50,060 International Monetary Fund. When such devaluations occur, not only do people see their savings lose value, 236 00:23:50,060 --> 00:23:58,060 but their ongoing wages, denominated in local currency units, also suffer. Over the past 50 years, very few 237 00:23:58,060 --> 00:24:03,980 developing countries have attained developed status. The absence of currency stability forces them to rely on 238 00:24:03,980 --> 00:24:09,740 external currency financing, which ironically contributes significantly to their currency instability, 239 00:24:09,740 --> 00:24:15,660 creating a destructive and nearly inescapable cycle. Even in wealthy countries, money often 240 00:24:15,660 --> 00:24:22,060 doesn't make sense. From 2016 to 2021, Europe and Japan grappled with negative-yielding bonds 241 00:24:22,060 --> 00:24:28,460 valued at over $18 trillion. Instead of earning interest for lending to governments and major corporations, 242 00:24:29,020 --> 00:24:33,740 individuals had to pay for this privilege. This upheaval in the financial system 243 00:24:33,740 --> 00:24:39,660 inverted incentives. And a global inflation surge in the ensuing years greatly eroded the purchasing 244 00:24:39,660 --> 00:24:46,700 power for those bondholders. Between 2020 and 2022, the United States increased its public debt by 245 00:24:46,700 --> 00:24:52,380 over $8 trillion, a significant portion of which was effectively printed by the country's central bank. 246 00:24:52,940 --> 00:24:59,660 This equates to more than $60,000 per American household. However, the average American family has not 247 00:24:59,660 --> 00:25:06,460 received anywhere near this amount of stimulus. With more than 160 currency jurisdictions worldwide, 248 00:25:06,460 --> 00:25:11,340 these governments, including the United States, possess substantial authority to erode the value of 249 00:25:11,340 --> 00:25:17,580 people's savings and wages, often channeling this value opaquely to various parties situated closer to 250 00:25:17,580 --> 00:25:25,020 the source of money creation. As money is continually diluted with ever-growing supply, sometimes value is 251 00:25:25,020 --> 00:25:30,620 funneled to corrupt government officials. Other times it is funneled toward financiers with privileged 252 00:25:30,620 --> 00:25:36,460 access to credit and bailouts. The details vary by country, and although there is plenty of blame to 253 00:25:36,460 --> 00:25:42,300 go around, the important point is that the incentives themselves are corrupt. The heart of the problem does 254 00:25:42,300 --> 00:25:47,500 not lie with specific individuals taking advantage of the system or even those maintaining the system. 255 00:25:47,500 --> 00:25:53,740 The problem is that the system itself is simply broken and outdated. Perhaps what is needed is an entirely new 256 00:25:53,740 --> 00:25:59,340 system. One that cannot be changed at the flip of a switch. One that is decentralized. One that is 257 00:25:59,340 --> 00:26:06,620 permissionless. One that is open source. Since the development of the internet, cryptographers have 258 00:26:06,620 --> 00:26:13,260 sought methods for creating decentralized digital currency. In 1982, David Chaum published a research 259 00:26:13,260 --> 00:26:19,820 paper on how mutually distrustful groups could use cryptography to maintain a shared database or ledger. 260 00:26:19,820 --> 00:26:27,420 During the 1990s and early 2000s, figures like Adam Back, Nick Szabo, and Hal Finney explored ways to 261 00:26:27,420 --> 00:26:33,500 create digital tokens supported by electricity and processing power, a concept known as proof of work. 262 00:26:34,140 --> 00:26:40,940 In 2008, an anonymous programmer using the name Satoshi Nakamoto published the Bitcoin white paper, 263 00:26:40,940 --> 00:26:47,020 which expanded on these earlier ideas. It outlined a method for creating a decentralized digital currency 264 00:26:47,020 --> 00:26:52,140 using a distributed network of nodes and transaction timestamping through cryptography and proof of 265 00:26:52,140 --> 00:26:58,860 work. In 2009, Nakamoto released the open source application to implement his design, and thus the 266 00:26:58,860 --> 00:27:06,780 Bitcoin time chain was born. What makes Bitcoin remarkable is its ability to enable bearer asset final 267 00:27:06,780 --> 00:27:12,860 settlements at the speed of light. It effectively closes the speed gap between transactions and settlements 268 00:27:12,860 --> 00:27:18,380 that has persisted since the late 19th century. In other words, it's the first workable way to 269 00:27:18,380 --> 00:27:24,380 quickly send money long distances without relying on centralized intermediaries and credit. And it comes 270 00:27:24,380 --> 00:27:30,780 with its own finite unit of account that cannot be diluted. For the past 15 years, Bitcoin has been 271 00:27:30,780 --> 00:27:37,100 refined in various ways, tested to see how robust it is to attacks, and copied by competitors to see if there's 272 00:27:37,100 --> 00:27:43,740 any way to do it better. So far, it has continuously remained the largest, most liquid, most decentralized, 273 00:27:43,740 --> 00:27:50,220 and most secure cryptocurrency. Although it has been volatile, Bitcoin has reached higher highs and 274 00:27:50,220 --> 00:27:58,060 higher lows of market value and adoption, cycle after cycle. Bitcoin works because anyone can run an open 275 00:27:58,060 --> 00:28:03,820 source node on a simple device such as a laptop, and these nodes all store the full history of the ledger. 276 00:28:04,460 --> 00:28:10,700 Users possess private keys, enabling them to sign transactions and pay fees to move coins or fractional 277 00:28:10,700 --> 00:28:17,100 coins between addresses. Miners contribute electricity and processing power to add new transaction blocks to 278 00:28:17,100 --> 00:28:23,500 the ledger in exchange for receiving transaction fees and new coins that are generated in each new block 279 00:28:23,500 --> 00:28:29,500 during the early years of the network. No individual entity, including the network's creator, can change the 280 00:28:29,500 --> 00:28:36,860 rules, dilute people's coins, or censor transactions. The network can, however, be updated over time in a 281 00:28:36,860 --> 00:28:41,900 backwards compatible way by a revolving set of contributing open source developers whenever 282 00:28:41,900 --> 00:28:47,580 there is enough consensus by the node operators and the miners to do so. While additional layers can 283 00:28:47,580 --> 00:28:53,420 enhance Bitcoin's speed, transaction throughput, or programmability, the base layer remains simple and 284 00:28:53,420 --> 00:29:00,780 robust with an eventual fixed supply of 21 million Bitcoins generated by miners over time in a pre-programmed 285 00:29:00,780 --> 00:29:06,620 deflationary pattern since inception. Value can be sent to anyone with an internet connection or brought 286 00:29:06,620 --> 00:29:12,220 with anyone globally. Bitcoin is decentralized digital money, offering a viable alternative to 287 00:29:12,220 --> 00:29:18,060 inflationary centralized banking ledgers. This technology is helping to pierce the 160 different 288 00:29:18,060 --> 00:29:23,820 fiat currency bubbles that people are trapped in. Cash and gold can be blocked in airports and bank 289 00:29:23,820 --> 00:29:29,660 transfers are tightly controlled, but people can send Bitcoins directly to others across borders or bring 290 00:29:29,660 --> 00:29:35,180 their Bitcoins with them as they move around the world just by writing down or memorizing 12 words 291 00:29:35,180 --> 00:29:40,780 representing their private key. People can protect themselves against monetary dilution and financial 292 00:29:40,780 --> 00:29:46,780 censorship. In a world where half of the population lives under varying shades of authoritarianism and 293 00:29:46,780 --> 00:29:51,900 billions of people live with persistently high inflation, the ability to fracture these 160 294 00:29:51,900 --> 00:29:58,540 currency silos and connect them together should not be underestimated. However, this technology has 295 00:29:58,540 --> 00:30:04,460 also catalyzed the development of more centralized digital currencies. Private stable coins, for instance, 296 00:30:04,460 --> 00:30:09,500 enable collateralized dollar tokens to trade on multiple blockchains, providing people in numerous 297 00:30:09,500 --> 00:30:15,820 highly inflationary countries easier access to US dollars for savings. Additionally, governments have 298 00:30:15,820 --> 00:30:21,820 explored and sometimes launched central bank digital currencies, which are digitally native, even more 299 00:30:21,820 --> 00:30:28,380 centralized versions of fiat currencies. This era marks a fork in the road, offering two distinct paths 300 00:30:28,380 --> 00:30:33,820 going forward. Over the past century and a half, within the telecommunication age, the global financial 301 00:30:33,820 --> 00:30:40,300 system has gravitated toward increased centralization, abstraction, and inflation, driven by the gap in speed 302 00:30:40,300 --> 00:30:46,460 between transactions and settlements, and relying on ever-expanding credit to bridge this gap. Most 303 00:30:46,460 --> 00:30:51,660 technologies in the past that made money more efficient have come at the cost of making it more centralized 304 00:30:51,660 --> 00:30:58,220 and controlled. On one path going forward, central bank digital currencies can continue the prior trend of 305 00:30:58,220 --> 00:31:04,860 ever more centralized systems that enable precise control and authority and dilution by nation states over their 306 00:31:04,860 --> 00:31:10,460 citizens. On the other path, the emergence of bitcoin and other open source cryptographic technologies, 307 00:31:10,460 --> 00:31:16,140 facilitating rapid digital settlements without the need for credit in a peer-to-peer manner, charts a course 308 00:31:16,140 --> 00:31:22,140 that diverges from this trend, leading toward a more decentralized, streamlined, and deflationary monetary 309 00:31:22,140 --> 00:31:29,100 system. Money is a shared ledger, prompting the central question of who governs this ledger. Early credit 310 00:31:29,100 --> 00:31:34,620 systems were governed by local communities, commodity money abided by natural laws, fiat 311 00:31:34,620 --> 00:31:40,300 currencies came under the jurisdiction of banks and nation states, and open source decentralized money like 312 00:31:40,300 --> 00:31:47,660 bitcoin is governed by its users and selected by market forces. In modern times, our money has been broken 313 00:31:47,660 --> 00:31:54,780 because it has been centralized, closed, and corrupted in 160 different ways. If we're going to fix it in the digital age, 314 00:31:54,780 --> 00:32:00,060 a powerful method would be to make it more decentralized, open, and transparent so that it can 315 00:32:00,060 --> 00:32:05,420 strengthen people as individuals while at the same time shattering the financial silos that separate 316 00:32:05,420 --> 00:32:12,620 us. With open source money, anyone can hold it, anyone can send it, anyone can bring it with them, anyone can 317 00:32:12,620 --> 00:32:18,940 build new technologies that make it better, and everyone across borders can be connected by it. If you enjoyed 318 00:32:18,940 --> 00:32:23,900 this video, share it with a friend. If you want to learn more about these topics, check out my book, 319 00:32:23,900 --> 00:32:32,140 broken money, why our financial system is failing us, and how we can make it better.